Potential risks of Zika and chikungunya outbreaks in Brazil: a modeling study
Full metadata record
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor | Laboratório de Parasitologia | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Aguiar, Breno S. | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Lorenz, Camila | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Virginio, Flávia | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Suesdek, Lincoln | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.author | Chiaravalloti-Neto, Francisco | pt_BR |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-07-09T21:19:59Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2020-07-09T21:19:59Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2018 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Aguiar BS., Lorenz C, Virginio F, Suesdek L, Chiaravalloti-Neto F. Potential risks of Zika and chikungunya outbreaks in Brazil: a modeling study. Int. J. Infect. Dis.. 2018 May;70:20-9. doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2018.02.007. | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.issn | 1201-9712 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorio.butantan.gov.br/handle/butantan/2462 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Objectives: While Brazil has witnessed an unprecedented Zika (ZIK) epidemic, chikungunya (CHIK) has also recently come into prominence as a threat in the Americas. The aim of this study was to identify the regions with increased probabilities of ZIK and CHIK occurrence, based on environmental and social conditions. Methods: A statistical Maxent model was used to assess the potential spatial risk of ZIK and CHIK dissemination; this considered the number of probable autochthonous ZIK and CHIK cases in 2015 and 2016, along with environmental variables and social indicators. Results: Land use was the most significant variable that best defined the distribution of ZIK and CHIK. Of the social variables, garbage destination, type of sanitary installation, and pipe-borne water were the most significant. An estimated 65 million people in Brazil live in areas at high risk of ZIK and 75 million people in areas at high risk of CHIK. The southeast and northeast regions of Brazil presented the largest areas of high risk for both ZIK and CHIK. Conclusions: Many areas across the Brazilian territory are exposed to ZIK or CHIK infection risks, which are related mainly to land use. The study findings offer valuable information to support time-sensitive public health decision-making at the local and national levels. | pt_BR |
dc.description.sponsorship | Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) | pt_BR |
dc.description.sponsorship | Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) | pt_BR |
dc.description.sponsorship | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) | pt_BR |
dc.format.extent | p. 20-29 | pt_BR |
dc.language | eng | pt_BR |
dc.publisher | Elsevier Sci LTD | pt_BR |
dc.relation.ispartof | International Journal of Infectious Diseases | pt_BR |
dc.rights | Open Access | pt_BR |
dc.title | Potential risks of Zika and chikungunya outbreaks in Brazil | pt_BR |
dc.type | Article | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.ijid.2018.02.007 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2018.02.007 | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.external | Universidade de São Paulo (USP)¦¦Brasil | pt_BR |
dc.title.sub | a modeling study | pt_BR |
dc.publisher.city | Hamilton | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.citationvolume | 70 | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keyword | Epidemic | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keyword | Microcephaly | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keyword | Maxent | pt_BR |
dc.subject.keyword | Socio-environmental conditions | pt_BR |
dc.relation.ispartofabbreviated | Int. J. Infect. Dis. | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.citationabnt | v. 70, p. 20-29, maio 2018 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.citationvancouver | 2018 May;70:20-9 | pt_BR |
dc.publisher.country | Canadá | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.butantan | Lorenz, Camila|:Aluno|:Laboratório de Parasitologia|: | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.butantan | Virginio, Flávia|:Aluno|:Laboratório de Parasitologia|: | pt_BR |
dc.contributor.butantan | Suesdek, Lincoln|:Pesquisador|:Laboratório de Parasitologia|: | pt_BR |
dc.sponsorship.butantan | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)¦¦311805/2014-0 | pt_BR |
dc.sponsorship.butantan | Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)¦¦23038.005.274/2011-24 | pt_BR |
dc.sponsorship.butantan | Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)¦¦1275/2011 | pt_BR |
dc.sponsorship.butantan | Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)¦¦2014/27172-9 | pt_BR |
dc.sponsorship.butantan | Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)¦¦2013/05521-9 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.bvscc | BR78.1 | pt_BR |
dc.identifier.bvsdb | IBProd | pt_BR |
item.openairetype | Article | - |
item.fulltext | Com Texto completo | - |
item.grantfulltext | embargo_29990101 | - |
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Appears in Collections: | Artigos de periódicos |
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